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Its not pessimism, its realism. There will be major bankruptcies before there is any real 3G service. The service providers have paid too much for too little spectrum. The standards are overly complex and do not fit well with Internet standards, they tend to reinforce walled gardens instead.
The amount of spectrum being allocated (about 15Mhz per service provider per region) is not anywhere near enough to deliver the promised high speed services for any large number of simultaneous users.
Cellular companies can barely make voice services work reliably...
I suspect that ubiquitous 802.11 wireless ethernet type technology will be the way that most people will get high speed wireless data services way before 3G happens.
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